Tornado Outbreak & Potentially Life Threatening Flood

A tornado outbreak is expected this afternoon and evening across the High Risk, Moderate, and portions of the Enhanced Risk Area. Strong tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds, and flash flooding is likely. Outside of thunderstorms, sustained winds will be very strong. A Wind Advisory is in effect:

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Southern Indiana and Central Kentucky

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning to 1 AM EDT /midnight

CDT/ Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and power outages may result.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles on east-west roads including Interstate 64, the Bluegrass Parkway, and the Western Kentucky Parkway. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

Today 

Tomorrow 

Friday 

Saturday 

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected until the end of the week enhancing the flood and severe weather threat. A High and Moderate Risk will be in effect tomorrow as potentially life threatening rainfall may occur. 

Severe Weather & Major Flood Threat

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected Wednesday/Wednesday Night. Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes are possible. Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected through the rest of the week which may lead to dangerous flooding. 6 to 12" of rain is expected to fall across the moderate outlined area in the WPC excessive rainfall outlook. A Flood Watch is in effect and there is strong wording highlighting the significance of the impact. 

Flood Watch

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...Southern Indiana and central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff is expected to result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings are likely to be flooded. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers is expected.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

- This is expected to be a high end event with life-threatening flooding. Major flash flooding and river flooding will be possible. Rush to completion any flooding preparation by Wednesday.

- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

Widespread Severe Weather Outbreak this Afternoon and Evening

 A widespread severe weather event is expected to unfold this afternoon and evening. A large population is highlighted within the Enhanced Risk Area. Widespread damaging winds are likely and tornadoes (some strong) will be possible with supercells. A QLCS will become the dominant storm mode by the overnight hours across portions of the Ohio Valley. 

Widespread severe weather potential this Sunday

 There is an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday into early Monday. All hazards of severe weather is possible, but there still remains uncertainty about the timing and the magnitude of severe weather over Central Kentucky. Nonetheless a 40% hatched significant threat is outlined over the Enhanced Risk Area. Stay tunned.

There is already a Slight Risk for day 6, April 2nd issued by the Storm Prediction Center highlighting the potential for severe weather.

Altostratus Undulatus

Here are a couple photos I took this morning of the clouds, some Altostratus Undulatus came through with some small graupel. Some showers and thunderstorms are expected later today with some gusty winds and rain. Southern Kentucky may see a few isolated severe thunderstorms later on in the afternoon and evening. 

Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible Tonight

 Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late this evening into the early overnight hours. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop and congeal into a squall line as it moves through Central Kentucky. The strongest storms are expected within the Enhanced and Slight Risk Areas. A Wind Advisory is in effect.

Wind Advisory

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Indiana and central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ this morning to 11 PM EDT /10 PM

CDT/ this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Tornado Watch

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 58 IN

EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT /11 PM CDT/ TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING

AREAS

IN INDIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES

IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA

CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS

FLOYD HARRISON ORANGE

PERRY SCOTT WASHINGTON

IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 18 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY

BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRAYSON

HANCOCK HARDIN HART

JEFFERSON LARUE MEADE

OHIO OLDHAM

IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

ALLEN BARREN BUTLER

EDMONSON LOGAN SIMPSON

WARREN

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ABERDEEN, ADYEVILLE, ADYEVILLE, ALVATON, ATHERTONVILLE, BAIZETOWN, BARDSTOWN JUNCTION, BEAVER DAM, BECKS MILL, BECKS MILL, BEDA, BOWLING GREEN, BOYCE, BRANDENBURG, BROWNSBORO, BROWNSTOWN, BROWNSTOWN, BUCKNER, BUFFALO, CANMER, CANTON, CANTON, CAVE CITY, CECILIA, CEMENTVILLE, CEMENTVILLE, CHAMBERSBURG, CHAMBERSBURG, CLARK REGIONAL AIRPORT, CLERMONT, CORYDON, CORYDON, CROMWELL, DUBOIS, DUBOIS, DUKES, DUNBAR, EDWARDSVILLE, EDWARDSVILLE, EIGHTY EIGHT, ELIZABETHTOWN, ENGLISH, EVANS LANDING, EVANS LANDING, FLAHERTY, FLAT ROCK, FLOYDS KNOBS, FLOYDS KNOBS, FOREST SPRINGS, FORT KNOX, FRANKLIN, FRENCH LICK MUNICIPAL AIRPORT, GARFIELD, GATCHEL, GATCHEL, GLASGOW, GLEN DEAN, GOSHEN, GOSHEN, HALFWAY, HARDINSBURG, HARDYVILLE, HARNED, HARTFORD, HAWESVILLE, HAYWOOD, HILLVIEW, HITCHCOCK, HODGENVILLE, HORSE CAVE, HUNTINGBURG AIRPORT, IRELAND, IRELAND, JASPER, JASPER, JEFFERSONVILLE, JEFFERSONVILLE, KESSINGER, KOSSUTH, KOSSUTH, LA GRANGE, LECTA, LEITCHFIELD, LEWISPORT, LOGANSPORT, LOUISVILLE, LUCAS, LYONS, MADRID, MAGNOLIA, MARENGO, MARENGO, MAYNARD, MCDANIELS, MCQUADY, MILLTOWN, MILLTOWN, MORGANTOWN, MOUNT WASHINGTON, MULDRAUGH, MUNFORDVILLE, NEW ALBANY, NEW ALBANY, NEW BOSTON, PAOLI, PATESVILLE, PAYNEVILLE, PELLVILLE, PEWEE VALLEY, PLANO, PRENTISS, PRICES MILL, PROVIDENCE, QUALITY, RADCLIFF, REX, RICHARDSVILLE, ROSINE, RUSSELLVILLE, SCOTTSVILLE, SHEPHERDSVILLE, STEPHENSBURG, SYRIA, TELL CITY, TERRY, UNO, WESTPORT, WHITE CLOUD, WHITE CLOUD, AND YOUNGS CREEK.

HRRR Model Prediction

Radar

Wind Advisory, Marginal Risk Wednesday

 There is a Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms Wednesday evening into the overnight hours as a line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to develop and move through the area. Damaging winds and heavy rain are the primary threats.

Wind Advisory

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.

* WHERE...Southern Indiana and central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ to 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles on east-west roadways. Use extra caution.