Christmas Winter Storm Eastern KY, Furries & Showers Central KY.

While it may be a disappointment for some, snow lovers can rejoice for waking up to a White Christmas tomorrow. In order to qualify you will need at least 1 inch of snowfall. Locations in Eastern Kentucky have a range of 1-4 inches of  snowfall which qualifies them as a White Christmas. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for areas East of I-75, A Winter Weather Advisory, and A Special Weather Statement has been issued for locations farther West into Central Kentucky. 

Here is the National Weather Service's Probabilistic Snowfall Experiment Accumulating Snow Potential Forecast.

Regardless of Snowfall, it will be a Cold Christmas Day and Night. Any wet roads will freeze as the temperatures plunge tonight. Highs will be in the low 20's with the Lows in the teens. Wind chills will be in the single digit down to as low as 4. Be sure to bundle up and plan accordingly to your local forecast. No need to be upset about Snowfall totals, theres always next year. I hope everyone has a Merry & Bright Christmas! ❄🎄

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First Snow of the Season Sunday Night-Monday

Hope everyone is enjoying their Thanksgiving weekend. Now I am turning my attention to the upcoming winter season. We will be looking at minor accumulations of snowfall late Sunday into Monday.

The farther east in Kentucky, the greater the chances are of exceeding snowfall amounts of 1 inch. Looking at the WPC down below, you can see the areas that are more likely to see accumulating snows.

Special Weather Statement

An area of low pressure over Mississippi is forecast to move northeastward and into southern West Virginia overnight. Widespread rain is expected across southern Indiana and central Kentucky throughout the evening and overnight.

Late tonight, colder air aloft will drop into the region from the west and northwest. This may result in some of the rain mixing with or changing over to snow at times late tonight. The best chance of this looks to occur across portions of central Kentucky. If this were to occur, a short burst of snow is possible which could produce a slushy accumulation. Surface temperatures are expected to remain above freezing overnight, so travel impacts look to remain quite limited.

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and you local media for the latest updates.

❗ Red Flag Warning, Gusty Winds❗

Gusty Winds and Fire Weather

Expected on Today 

Red Flag Warnings 

RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHERN INDIANA AND MOST OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY... * 

AFFECTED AREA...Southern Indiana and most of central Kentucky * WIND...Southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * HUMIDITY...As low as 20 to 25 percent in the afternoon. * IMPACTS...any fires that start will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. 

Fire Weather Watch

 Special Weather Statement 

Special Weather Statement

Expect sustained winds of 15-25 mph with 35 mph gusts. Localized gusts of 40 mph are possible in southern Indiana, mainly around Dubois County and places to the northwest of our CWA.

Expect the strongest winds during the late morning to the early evening hours.

Expect these winds to blow lightweight objects, so think about securing decorations and trash that could be vulnerable. Driving may also be difficult as winds push on moving vehicles. High profile vehicles are more at risk.

Hurricane ETA

Major Cat 3 Hurricane ETA

110 mph winds, 962 mb pressure, moving west at 9 mph.

Tropical Tidbits 

NHC Forecast Cone

Predicted Tropical Storm Force Winds 

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Frost Advisory and Freeze Watch

 

Frost Advisory 

&

Freeze Wacth 

FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT TONIGHT... ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.Cold airmass in place tonight along with light winds should allow for frost formation for many locations in southern Indiana and central Kentucky by daybreak Saturday. A strong cold front will cross the region Sunday morning, allowing for even cold temperatures as we start the day Monday. A killing agricultural freeze is looking more likely, likely ending the growing season for this year.

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a Freeze Watch, which is in effect from late Sunday night through Monday morning.

* TEMPERATURE...Low to mid 30s by Saturday morning. Lows in the mid 20s for all but the immediate Louisville metro, where lows should be around 30 Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost could have impacts on agricultural and horticultural interests. Vegetation sensitive to frost may be damaged or killed if left uncovered. The freeze Monday morning likely will end the growing season.

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

A Freeze Watch means sub-freezing temperatures are possible. These conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.

If you have mums like I do, be sure to bring them indoors or cover them appropriately.

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Hurricane Zeta

 Hurricane Zeta has made landfall near Cocodrie, Louisiana, as a high-end Category 2. 110 mph winds. Life threatening storm surge is occurring near Bay St. Louis, MS.

Hurricane Zeta 

currently packing 100 mph sustained winds, a pressure of 975mb, moving north-northeast at 20 mph.

Tropicaltidbits.com

Tropical Storm force wind potentials 

Here are the forecasted storm surge totals.

Forecasted arrival time

Potential rainfall totals 

If you are in or near the cone of uncertainty, pay attention to the latest forecasts from your local Meteorologists and the National Hurricane Center for updates.

Hurricane Delta Strengthens on Approach to US.

 Hurricane Delta 

Tropicaltidbits.com

Cone of uncertainty shows possible landfall in portions of Louisiana that has been affected by Hurricane Laura.

Storm surge flooding up to 8 feet in some locations.

Here is the tropical storm force winds.

Here is the predicted arrival time

Stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and your local Meteorologists if you are in the path of this storm.

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MAJOR CAT 4 HURRICANE DELTA

 

Hurricane Delta 

145 MPH Sustained Winds, Pressure 956 mb, moving west-northwest at 16 miles an hour.

Tropical Tidbits

Forecast Track Cone.

Tropical Storm Force Wind Potential.

Possible Arrival Time. 

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Tropical Storm Beta

Tropical Storm Beta in the Gulf of Mexico targeting landfall in Texas on Monday.

Beta is currently packing 60 mph winds, a pressure of 994 millibars and moving northwest at 3 miles an hour.

Here is the predicted storm surge forecast.

Hurricane Sally, Hurricane Paulette, TS Vicky, Teddy, 3 invests

Official Landfall Report

Hurricane Sally once again intensified upon landfall becoming a Category 2 Hurricane whipping 105 mph winds and a pressure of 965 mb.

Tropical Tidbits Imagery

 

Current 

Hours Before landfall 

There are a lot of tropical disturbances to keep an eye on within the coming days. 

It's been a very active season as there is only one name left to be used to name Tropical Storms/Hurricanes in the Atlantic. Once the last name is used, they will begin using the Greek Alphabet to name any future storms. Interesting to note that this is the first time in recorded history, that there are 5 named storms of tropical storm force (39+mph) or higher simultaneously in the Atlantic. (Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky)

Hurricane Sally is currently packing 100 mph winds, a pressure of 967 mb, moving north northeast at 3 miles an hour.

Potentially historic flooding is possible in portions of Alabama and Florida as Sally moves slowly through Wednesday.

Below is the NHC's predicted Tropical Storm Force winds.

Here is the storm surge potential.

This is water above normally dry land.

Strong Storms, Flash Flood Threat Tonight.

There is a chance for strong storms with gusty winds and heavy rain throughout the night. The National Weather Service in Louisville has issues a Flash Flood Watch.

There is currently a Tornado warning for Hart county, Kentucky that remains in effect until 8:45 pm central time. Radar has indicated some rotation in between Bonnieville and Munfordville.

A Marginal Risk for severe weather is in place for the rest of the night.

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Heavy rain and gusty winds are the main threats tonight.

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Indiana and Kentucky, including the following areas, in Indiana, Clark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison and Perry. In Kentucky, Anderson, Bourbon, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Clark, Fayette, Franklin, Grayson, Hancock, Hardin, Harrison, Henry, Jefferson, Jessamine, Larue, Marion, Meade, Mercer, Nelson, Nicholas, Ohio, Oldham, Scott, Shelby, Spencer, Washington and Woodford.

* Through Thursday morning

* Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall have developed across portions of the region this evening and will continue into tomorrow morning. Local flash flooding may result in areas that see repeated storms.

* Watch for fast rises of area creeks/streams, and water collecting on roadways. Low lying areas and poor drainage will also quickly flood with intense rainfall rates.

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to Flash Flooding. Flash Flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest information.

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