Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather, Tornado Watch.

8:46 pm edt.

Tornado Watch 72 in effect until 3:00 am edt.

Primary threats include...

*A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible.

*Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely.

*Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible.

4:30 Pm Update:

Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch

.

Good morning, this morning I woke up to some beautiful sunrise illuminated decaying mammatus clouds.

Now let's get to the Severe Weather Outbreak that is possible later today.

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has placed a ENHANCED RISK for severe weather today for Illinois, Iowa, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee. All severe modes are possible here with potentially a Severe Weather/Tornado Outbreak.

Hatched Significant Tornado Threat in Yellow 10%, 5 percent Brown, and 2 percent in Green.

Here is the wind Threat. 30 percent red, 15 percent yellow, 5 percent brown.

 Hail threat in yellow 15%.

Stay tuned this blog will be updated later on Today.

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Severe Weather Threat Today, Tornado Watch

A Tornado Watch Has Been Issued.

Enhanced Risk for Portions of Iowa, Nebraska, Missouri, Kansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Arkansas.

Tornado Threat:
10% yellow
5% brown
2% green

Wind Threat:
30% red
15% yellow
5% brown

Hail Threat:

Hatched Significant Red 30%

15% yellow

5% brown 

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of southern Indiana and central Kentucky

* From this evening through Friday morning

* Widespread rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected across the watch area through Friday morning. Areas that receive multiple rounds of storms likely would get more rainfall and the higher rainfall rates could lead to flash flooding.

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Small Severe Weather Threat Wednesday

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has placed Central Kentucky in a Marginal Risk for severe weather tomorrow.

Furthermore, an Enhanced Risk for severe weather potential in North Central Texas and Southwestern Oklahoma in Orange, and a Slight Risk across Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas in yellow.

*A 2 percent tornado threat has been posted for Central Kentucky, portions of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas in green
*A 5 percent tornado threat is posted for portions of Oklahoma, and Texas in brown

Here is the wind threats; 

*30 percent chance for damaging winds in the red for Texas and portions of Oklahoma.

*15 percent chance for damaging winds in the yellow outlined area, and

*5 percent chance in for locations in the brown outline.

Here is the Hail Threat which is located in 15 percent yellow and 5 percent brown across portions Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas.

Stay tunned for updates, I am also watching the potential for strong storms on Thurday.

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Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service. 

Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather & Tornado Watch

Tornado Watch in effect

"The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Central Kentucky
     Northern Tennessee

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 505 PM until Midnight
     CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
       inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Severe storms including several supercells will continue
   to move east-southeastward this evening, particularly in vicinity of
   a warm front. This includes the potential for a couple of tornadoes
   aside from large hail and damaging winds.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Bowling
   Green KY to 115 miles east of Bowling Green KY. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8)."

"Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Southern Illinois
     Southern Indiana
     Western and Central Kentucky
     Southeast Missouri
     Northwest and North Central Tennessee

   * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1145 AM
     until 500 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
       inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms will track across the
   watch area this afternoon, with a few supercell storms expected to
   develop.  Strengthening winds aloft will pose a risk of a tornadoes,
   possibly strong.  Hail and damaging winds are also possible with the
   strongest storms.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
   north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Cape
   Girardeau MO to 35 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6)."

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has upgraded Western & Central Kentucky to a Enhanced Risk with an upgraded tornado threat.

SE Missouri, SE Illinois, SE Indiana, NE, Central Arkansas, NW Tennessee, West, Central, and Eastern Kentucky.

Here is the tornado threat, hatched Significant 10 percent in yellow. 5 percent in brown, and 2 percent in green.

Here is the damaging wind Threat. 30 percent red, 15 percent yellow, 5 percent brown.

Hail threat, 30 percent red, 15 percent yellow, 5 percent brown.

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of south central Indiana and north central and east central Kentucky.

* From 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ this afternoon through late tonight

* Multiple rounds of thunderstorms this afternoon through evening will produce heavy rain resulting in potential flash flooding.

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Stay tunned!
Now would be a good time to practice your severe weather satey plans.

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Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service. 

Severe Weather Threat Tomorrow (Thursday)

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Western, Central, and Eastern portions of Kentucky in a Slight Risk Furthermore, potions of Tennesee who have been impacted by violent tornadoes earlier this month.

Other states include SE Missouri, SE Illinois, SE Indiana, NE Arkansas, N Mississippi.

5 percent tornado risk in Brown, and 2 percent in Green. Reminder, this is a non zero tornado threat. Just because it is a low threat, it does not mean you will not see a tornado. The strongest storms will be capable of producing tornadoes.

Damaging Wind Threat is 15 percent in yellow, and 5 percent in Brown.

The Hail threat is 15 percent in yellow, and 5 percent in Brown.

Stay tunned!
Now would be a good time to practice your severe weather satey plans.

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Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service. 

5:36 PM Update

Tornado Watch #35

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas Southern Illinois Southwestern Indiana Western Kentucky Southeastern Missouri Northwestern Tennessee

* Effective this Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning from 520 PM until 100 AM CST. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of south eastern and central Kentucky in a Marginal Risk.

The best chance for a more wide spread thunderstorm threat will be in portions of Western Kentucky, Southeast Missouri, East Arkansas, West Central Tennessee, North Mississippi.

Tornado Threat, 5% in brown, and 2% in green (bigger circle)                                                       

Wind Threat, 15% in yellow, 5% brown.

Hail threat, hatched significant circled in the black circle.

Pivotalweather.com

HRRR Model

The chance for thunderstorms begins at 3 pm through 8 am tomorrow.

A few of these storms may be severe, but will mostly be sub severe. 

I will keep you updated through the day.

Remembering March 2nd, 2012

Tornado Outbreak

This is a collage by me, but these pictures were not taken by me and belong to their rightful owners: storm chasers, Meteorologists, and bystanders.

I know this is an old outdated video, but I made this when I was 14 years old. This was the first tornado outbreak of my career once I became interested in weather. I was very nervous seeing how serious Meteorologists and Storm Chasers was talking about the forecast and looking back, seeing all the ingredients come together makes it that much more scary.