Tornado Watch, High, Moderate Risk Dixie Alley, Enhanced Ohio Valley

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Southern Illinois
     Southern Indiana
     Western and Central Kentucky
     Southeast Missouri
     Northeast Mississippi
     Western and Middle Tennessee

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
     1100 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
       mph likely
     Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
       to 2 inches in diameter possible

Yet again we are looking at the potential for a severe weather/tornado outbreak across Dixie Alley. Some locations that seen severe weather about a week ago are again under the threat. This time it includes much more of the Ohio Valley.

Here below you can see the hatched significant 30% risk in pink, 15 percent risk for tornadoes in red, and 10 percent hatched significant in yellow. This includes portions of the following states in pink, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama. In red, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Alabama. In orange a large swath of states which includes Kentucky, In yellow, Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, and Louisiana.

Here is the damaging wind threat 45% in pink, 30% hatched significant in Red.

Hail 30% hatched significant in Red.

4:57 update

3:40 pm update 

Tornado watch forthcoming with an 80 percent chance of issuance. The threat for tornadoes across western Kentucky will increase during the next couple of hours. 

1:54 update

With instability still in question. We are currently seeing some breaks in the clouds leading to some sunshine in some areas. This will increase instability this afternoon and evening giving fuel to developing thunderstorms. The locations with the most sunshine stand the greatest threat for severe thunderstorms. 

Stay tuned to the NWS and your local Meteorologists for immediate updates for watches and warnings. 

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