Marginal Risk Wednesday, Tropic Update

 

Linktr.ee/WeatherGraphy

A Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon. Strong winds and heavy rain are the primary threats.

Here is the day 2 wind threat at a low 5% chance in brown.

Tropics

By day 5 in orange has a 40-60 percent chance of developing into a depression or tropical storm.

While in yellow, a less than 40 percent at this time. 

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Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service. 

Slight and Marginal Risk Today

Linktr.ee/WeatherGraphy

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk for all of Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, and many other states in the plains and Dixie Alley. A Slight Risk for portions of the NE US. Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening. 

 A non zero tornado threat, but low at a 2 percent chance in green for a isolated brief tornado while storms are in singular mode before converging. There is a 5 percent chance in brown to the Northeast.

Damaging winds are also possible with these storms this afternoon and will be the main threat. Low 5% chance in brown 15% in yellow in the Northeasten United States. 

Large hail is also possible with the strongest storms, 5% brown and 15% in yellow. 

Here is a single image of the HRRR Model run from pivotal weather. This is an idea of how storms may evolve later today. 

As with all storms, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Please check radar and your local forecasts before going to the beach, lake, creek, or swimming pool. Lightning kills, seek shelter indoors if you hear thunder.

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Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service. 

Strong Storms Possible Today, Watching the Gulf

 Linktr.ee/WeatherGraphy

Good Sunday afternoon everybody it's a hot and muggy day once again. Currently sitting at 84 degrees at 12:00 pm est and the highs 89. There is a 60% change for scatter thunderstorms some of which could be strong to severe this afternoon and evening. Storms will be sporadic in nature so not everyone will see a storm today.

The SPC has placed portions of Central and Eastern Kentucky in a Marginal Risk for strong to severe storms today in dark green.

There is a low 5 percent damaging wind and hail threat. 

Tropics

There is a trough of low pressure that has a 50 percent chance of developing over the next 5 days. In the meantime it is at 10 percent for the next few days. We'll keep watching to see what happens over the coming days.

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Midland WR120 NOAA Weather Alert Radio - White

This NOAA weather radio is highly recommended to get the most recent warnings issued by your local National Weather Service.