We have been watching this system for days now and we are at the time frame where we can increase our confidence in precipitation types. An Ice Storm Warning has been issued for Central Kentucky. There still remains some uncertainty about how long precipitation types will fall in each stage. Keep in mind it can go 1 of 2 ways. One way is that we can have lower ice totals due to a faster transition to sleet/snow, or we could end up with higher ice totals if we get stuck in the 2nd phase. This will be better fine tuned later today and tomorrow.
Ice Storm Warning
* WHAT...Significant icing is expected. Ice accumulations of one quarter to one half of an inch are expected. In addition, up to an inch of sleet and snow will be possible.
* WHERE...Much of central Kentucky.
* WHEN...From 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Thursday to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Friday.
* IMPACTS...Scattered power outages and tree damage will be possible due to the ice. Travel will be extremely hazardous and could be impossible at times.
Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages.
For Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov
The WPC has highlighted portions of Kentucky in a 40% chance of accumulating greather than it equal to .25 inches of ice from freezing rain.
Prepare now, preparations should be done by tonight! Prepare in case of power outages, charge your devices and make sure you have enough supplies and food. Avoid travel unless absolutely necessary on Thursday and Thursday Night. If you must travel, make sure to take additional jackets, blankets, and non perishable foods.
Im seeing a lot of ice storm anxiety, maybe this will help. In 8 days it will be the 1 year anniversary of the February 10th, 2021 Ice Storm. I see some similarities only a little more ice is forecast this time, so this storm will be a little worse than that, but no where near as much as the January 26th, 2009 storm (on my bday) which produced at least 2.5 inches of ice with a foot of snow. The storm as the weather channel named it shirley produced .40 to .60" of ice across the state. There is potential for some locations to top these numbers at .50 to .75+. The state as a whole will have a large range gap .25 to .75+
Uncertainty remains and you really need to pay attention to Meteorologist who will be Nowcasting tomorrow because there's four phases that we will go through and we will not know how fast we will get through each stage which is rain, to freezing rain, to sleet, to snow. A longer time in freezing rain more ice, less time, less ice etc and vice versa.
Here's that storm in blogs and pictures:
https://www.weathergraphy.com/2021/02/significant-winter-weather-midweek.html
https://www.instagram.com/p/CLK70MTsoDe/?utm_medium=copy_link
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