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Sunday, March 6, 2022

Enhanced & Slight Risk for Severe Weather Today, Flood Watch KY

 An Enhanced Risk has been issued and includes portions of Southern Missouri and Northern Arkansas. 10% hatched significant tornado threat in yellow and the black dashed lines over some of the Enhanced Risk area, 5% in brown and 2% in yellow. 30% chance for damaging winds in red, 15% in yellow, and 5% in brown. 5% chance for severe hail in brown. 



A Stalled out boundary will lead to training and rounds of thunderstorms today and tonight. The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch.

Here you can see where the HRRR Model is trying to predict where the boundary sets up as it shows convection stretching horizontally across Central Kentucky.



Flood Watch 


* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest Kentucky and south central Kentucky, including the following counties, in east central Kentucky, Anderson, Bourbon, Boyle, Clark, Fayette, Garrard, Jessamine, Madison, Mercer, Nicholas and Woodford. In north central Kentucky, Breckinridge, Hardin, Larue, Nelson and Washington. In northwest Kentucky, Ohio. In south central Kentucky, Butler, Casey, Edmonson, Grayson, Green, Hart, Lincoln, Marion and Taylor.

* WHEN...From 9 AM CST /10 AM EST/ this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along a stalled frontal boundary today. The motions of these showers and storms will likely result in repeated rounds of heavy rain for some areas and could result in flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.


A Flood Advisory has been issued


Flood Advisory

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.

* WHERE...Portions of NORTH CENTRAL Kentucky and SOUTH CENTRAL Kentucky, including the following counties, in NORTH CENTRAL Kentucky, Breckinridge, Hardin, Larue, Nelson and Washington. In SOUTH CENTRAL Kentucky, Grayson.

* WHEN...Until 130 PM CST /230 PM EST/.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 1029 AM CST /1129 AM EST/, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Leitchfield, Radcliff, Lebanon Junction, Clarkson, Bloomfield, Tunnel Hills, Crest and Colesburg. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you can do so safely and have them relay your report to the National Weather Service in Louisville.

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