Isolated strong to severe storms

 There is a Marginal Risk for a few strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening with severe weather more probable within the yellow Slight Risk areas and where there is a 5% chance for tornadoes in brown and a 2% in green. Scattered storms will be possible in Kentucky ahead of a line of storms. Severe weather is more likely west of I-65. 

Here is how the HRRR models see the showers and storm evolving this afternoon and evening.

Damaging winds will be the primary threat across Central Kentucky. 

A Mesoscale Discussion has been put out for portions of Southern Illinois, Eastern Missouri, Western Kentucky, Northeast Arkansas, and Western Tennessee. There is an 80% chance for a severe weather watch. The NWS is negotiating which product to issue this afternoon. Storms capable of damaging winds, large hail, and a couple tornadoes are possible in this area. 

Be sure to monitor your local forecast for immediate watches and warnings. Be sure to check radar before spending long periods of time outside or playing in water. Lightning is one of the leading killers. When thunder roars, go in doors immediately!