Severe Weather Outbreak in the Northern Plains Today

A severe weather and potential tornado outbreak is possible today in the Northern Plains. A moderate risk has been issued for portions of Minnesota and South Dakota.

 There is a hatched significant 15% tornado threat in red, 10% hatched significant in yellow. A 5% chance in brown, and a 2% in green.

45% hatched significant damaging wind threat in purple and a hatched significant 30% threat in red. Hatched significant threat 15% in yellow. 5% in brown.

Here is the hail threat, 30% hatched significant in red 15% in yellow, and 5% in brown.

60% chance of a watch issuance for severe weather.

Strong to severe storms possible Today

 The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a large portion of locations within a yellow Slight Risk for today. Damaging winds, heavy rain, hail, and an isolated tornado is possible with these storms.

There is a non zero tornado threat with 2% in green and 5% in brown

There is also a chance for some damaging winds with these storms.

15% Yellow

5% Brown

Hail threat is conditional at 5%

Strong to Severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening

 The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch 

Severe Thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening.

 

An Enhance Risk has been placed for portions of Eastern Missouri, Southern Illinois, Southern Indiana and Western Kentucky. All of Kentucky is in a Slight Risk. 

Elsewhere another Enhanced Risk for portions of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa.

Tornado threat 

2% green

5% brown

Damaging wind threat 

30% red

15% yellow

5% brown

Hail threat 

30% red hatched significant (MN, IA, WI)

15% yellow hatched significantly (MN, IA WI)

5% brown 

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued ahead of a cluster of severe thunderstorms in Western Kentucky and Southern Indiana. 

Strong to Severe Storms Today

 A Slight Risk has been placed over Central Kentucky, portions of eastern Illinois, and Southern Indiana and north central Tennessee. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible later today. Damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps a tornado is also possible. There are some limiting factors at play here and any storm that does develop will be isolated in nature.

A 2% chance for a tornado in the green outlined areas

5% chance in brown

Damaging wind threat:

15% in yellow 

5% in brown

Hail threat:

15% yellow 

5% brown 

Lunar Eclipse May 15-16, 2022

 Here was my view of the lunar eclipse last night/this morning in Central Kentucky. I was not able to view the second half of the eclipse due to cloud cover from approaching showers and thunderstorms. I am very happy that I was able to see at least the first half. If you were not able to view this eclipse, do not worry. There will be another lunar eclipse coming up this November 8th, that is of course if the weather cooperates with us.

YouTube clips.
https://youtu.be/SQuAbvk1F_A

Strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening

 There is a Slight chance for strong to severe thunderstorms across portions of North Central Kentucky. A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, some hail, and a couple isolated tornadoes is possible.

A 2% tornado threat in green and a 5% in brown

5% damaging wind threat in brown, and a 15% in yellow. 

There is a 5% hail threat in brown.

The high resolution rapid refresh model shows a few individual and cluster storms popping up over the Slight risk areas.