Severe weather is possible on Monday and Tuesday.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms on Monday in parts of East Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. All modes of severe weather including a few strong tornadoes is possible. A Slight Risk has been placed over a swath of states from portions of the Ohio Valley to portions of Dixie Alley.
Monday
Merry Christmas everybody, I hope your White Christmas is merry and bright. ❄
A clipper system diving in from the Northwest will bring light accumulating snow Late tonight/early am hours. Snow accumulations up to 2 inches is possible with most locations receiving around an inch or so.
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My heart and condolences go out to families who've lost loved ones during the blizzard and cold weather.
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Confidence is increasing for accumulating snow late this evening until after midnight. Rain will quickly change to snow with the passing of the artic front bringing accumulating snows. Snowfall totals are expected to be in the 1-4 inches range with locally higher amounts 4-6". The big story that remains is the brutally cold temperatures and dangerous life threatening wind chills. The lows tonight are likely to reach single digits and may even go negative a few degrees.
I like to look at the HRRR model which we can now do because the storm is about 48 hours out. This model updates each hour and will adjust to current conditions in the atmosphere, and will then make a prediction. This model is showing a swath of 3 to 6 across the state. Will continue to watch to see how these models trend throughout the day, they will likely teeter up until hours before the storm before settling on an agreement based on the conditions.
Strong winds are another factor that will make difficult travel and dangerous conditions. Near blizzard conditions are expected with winds that could gust up to 50 mph in some areas. This wind will lead to blowing snow lessening visibility and cause snow to drift.
If you must travel take extra precautions, make sure you are prepared in case of an emergency. Take extra blankets, clothing, food, and have a safety plan should you break down in the cold.
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Wind Chill Warning
* WHAT...Wind Chill Warning for dangerously cold wind chills expected. Wind chills of -25 to -30 below zero. Winter Weather Advisory for snow. Total snow accumulations of 1-3 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph expected.
* WHERE...All of southern Indiana and central Kentucky.
* WHEN...Wind Chill Warning is in effect from 10 PM EST tonight through 1 PM EST Friday. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6 PM EST tonight through 1 PM EST Friday.
* IMPACTS...Slick roads are expected this evening and through the day on Friday. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility in some areas. The cold wind chills can cause frostbite on exposed skin in less than 30 minutes.
Avoid outside activities if possible. When outside, make sure you wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.
Slow down and use caution while traveling.
In Indiana, for Indiana Road Conditions please visit http://pws.trafficwise.org.
In Kentucky, for Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov
Winter Storm Warning
* WHAT...Total snow accumulation 2 to 3 inches, locally up to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph, resulting in near blizzard conditions at times, and dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero.
* WHERE...Southern Indiana and central Kentucky.
* WHEN...This evening through Friday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Hazardous travel conditions could impact the Friday morning The cold wind chills could cause frostbite on exposed skin in less than 30 minutes.
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
Avoid outside activities if possible. When outside, make sure you wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves.
In Indiana, for Indiana Road Conditions please visit http://pws.trafficwise.org In Kentucky, for Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov
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Good morning everybody, as models become more in agreement we can look forward to below normal temperatures in the next couple of weeks. Temperatures could very well drop into the single digits with negative wind chills over a large area. The CPC has highlighted in dark purple areas that will see below normal temperatures in the near future. Even the Mississippi Valley will experience below normal temperatures. Now would be a good time to prepare to travel in cold temperatures if you have holiday plans. Pack your vehicles, with blankets and non perishable goods. It is too early to call for snow at this time, but that could change. Over the next 14 days, the Ohio and Mississippi Valley will be below normal and that is the biggest take away. Do not forget to bring in your pets as these temperatures will be too cold for many.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Western Kentucky and Northwestern Tennessee in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms. Small hail, damaging winds, and a brief isolated tornado or two is possible over the Marginal Risk Area. A 2% tornado threat and a 5% damaging wind threat.
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