High Wind Warning Central Kentucky

High Wind Warning

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with widespread gusts over 50 mph expected, with isolated wind gusts over 60 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and east central, north central, northwest and south central Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

Severe Weather Threat Continues

 We have seen heavy rounds of showers and thunderstorms that have cause flash flooding across Western into North Central Kentucky. The National Weather Service has issued Flash Flood Warnings and A Flood Watch remains in effect.

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Anderson County in central Kentucky...
  Bullitt County in central Kentucky...
  Northeastern Hardin County in central Kentucky...
  Northern Nelson County in central Kentucky...
  Spencer County in central Kentucky...

* Until 300 PM EST.

* At 1149 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Shepherdsville, Lawrenceburg,
  Taylorsville, Radcliff, Mount Washington, Ballard, Hillview and
  Lebanon Junction.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Indiana and Kentucky, including the following
  counties, in Indiana, Clark, Floyd, Harrison and Jefferson. In
  Kentucky, Anderson, Bourbon, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Clark,
  Edmonson, Fayette, Franklin, Grayson, Hancock, Hardin, Harrison,
  Henry, Jefferson, Jessamine, Larue, Logan, Meade, Mercer, Nelson,
  Nicholas, Ohio, Oldham, Scott, Shelby, Simpson, Spencer, Trimble,
  Warren, Washington and Woodford.

* WHEN...Through late tonight.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Multiple waves of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are
    possible today and could result in locally excessive rainfall
    and flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

There is still a chance for another round of strong to severe thunderstorms later this afternoon.
However, the atmosphere has stabilized some from the heavy rain and will cause storms
to have less intensity than previously forecasted. Nonetheless a non zero tornado threat 
of 2% and 5% is listed for Kentucky. Damaging wings are the primary hazards.

Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Thursday

 An Enhanced Risk has been placed over portions of Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee. Mississippi, and Alabama.  

Mississippi and Alabama have the greatest tornado threat: 10% hatched significant

There is likely to be ongoing convection in the morning hours across portions of the Ohio Valley causing uncertainty in the strength of the second round of thunderstorm development in the afternoon. 

here is one run from the HRRR model showing the potential for isolated strong to severe storms in the afternoon hours. These could cause brief tornadoes which is why there is a 5% tornado threat over Central Kentucky at this time.

Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible Wednesday & Thursday

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk well in advance of a strong upper level system that is expected to reach the Ohio Valley on Thursday. Strong to Severe storms are possible Wednesday across portions or East Texas, Southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, Northern Louisiana, and Northwestern Mississippi. 

A threat for strong to severe thunderstorms carries on to the next day which includes a larger area from the Ohio Valley into Dixie Alley. 

This system is days out and model guidance will change. The threat for severe weather may increase or decrease. Stay tuned to your local weather for immediate broadcasts of watches and warnings for your county.

High Wind Warning has been issued

 A High Wind Warning has been issued, prepare now for damaging winds and power outages.

HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, north central and south
  central Kentucky.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.