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Wednesday, February 15, 2023

Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms Thursday

 An Enhanced Risk has been placed over portions of Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee. Mississippi, and Alabama.  





Mississippi and Alabama have the greatest tornado threat: 10% hatched significant




There is likely to be ongoing convection in the morning hours across portions of the Ohio Valley causing uncertainty in the strength of the second round of thunderstorm development in the afternoon. 

here is one run from the HRRR model showing the potential for isolated strong to severe storms in the afternoon hours. These could cause brief tornadoes which is why there is a 5% tornado threat over Central Kentucky at this time.



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