More strong/severe storms this afternoon/evening

 A Moderate Risk is in effect for portions of Southern Missouri, Western Kentucky, Southern Illinois, Northwestern and Central Tennessee where a few strong tornadoes EF2+ will be possible this afternoon and evening.

There is a significant threat for damaging winds 45% across the Moderate Risk area and a 30% hatched significant threat along the Enhanced Risk area. Overall there is a 10% hatched significant tornado threat draped across the Moderate and Enhanced Risk areas. 

Significantly large hail will also be possible with the supercells and within the strongest portion of the MCS. A 45% hatched significant threat is highlighted among the Moderate Risk area.

For Central Kentucky the forecast remains more complicated. Forecast models show a complex of strong to potentially severe storms moving through later today. At this time I think the best chance for tornadoes will be Southwest of I-65, but a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Heavy rain here is possible and a Flood Watch has been issued for excessive rain falling in a short period of time. Will have to wait and see exactly where storms develop as a farther north development will lead to severe weather, a farther south development will lead to a lesser threat for Central and Northern Kentucky. Nonetheless, stay weather aware!

Radar