Significant Severe Weather Tuesday & Wednesday

 There is growing potential for a significant severe weather episode Tuesday and Wednesday for The Ohio Valley. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for Tuesday with a hatched significant threat for large hail. For Wednesday An Enhanced Risk has been issued and highlights the potential for all modes, supercells capable of producing EF2+ tornadoes also appears possible at this time. Moderate Instability and a good amount of deep layer wind shear is concerning, hodographs are showing the potential for PDS Tornadoes over Central Kentucky as of this morning. Keep in mind we are still over 24 hours out and models can and will change a bit as we get closer to the event. Prepare now for significant weather Tuesday and especially Wednesday. Please, if you live in a mobile home and are highlighted in an Enhanced Risk, please think and plan ahead about where you would go during a tornado. Mobile homes are not ideal to be inside of during a tornado and it would be extremely unlikely to survive EF2+ tornadoes should they occur. Many have lost their lives already this year to tornadoes inside of mobile homes, please stay weather aware!

Wednesday

Keep in mind this is the HRRR Model and this is an hourly model. This will likely shift around a bit over the next 24-48 hours. I will be watching to see if this is a trend. It is important to watch what happens on Wednesday morning as it will shape what occurs during the afternoon. Should there be morning convection, it could affect destabilization in the afternoon and cause the strong to severe storms to struggle. 

The HRRR model is showing a broken line of strong to severe storms, some of which could be supercells.

Radar